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OMF-4

Climate and Communities

How can fisheries managers evaluate and reduce risk to marine social-ecological systems from climate variability and change?

Overview

Fisheries managers need tools to help them address the risks to communities and ecosystems under climate change.

There is a need for better modeling approaches that connect future changes in ocean resources to the well-being of coastal communities. Can we improve our understanding of risks facing marine species?  How will ecosystem services change as the climate changes, and how can fisheries governance adapt to these changes? What shifts in management or governance can mitigate the vulnerability of community well-being to climate change? How can ocean managers and policy makers ensure equity within and among coastal communities in the face of climate change?

 

 

 

 

This was one of two Humpback whales that made a pass at the end of the pier in Port San Luis. While one was eating tons of anchovies, this one decided to just show its tail.
This was one of two Humpback whales that made a pass at the end of the pier in Port San Luis. While one was eating tons of anchovies, this one decided to just show its tail.

Summary

What are the risks to communities and social systems, fisheries, food webs, and economies under future scenarios of global change, and how do management strategies balance those risks?

Risk assessment approaches can help explore the consequences of decision frameworks and governance system characteristics under changing climate and ecosystem scenarios. We are bringing together experts in ecosystem and climate modeling, ecosystem service evaluation, public policy risk, risk perception, and ecological economics to evaluate climate vulnerability across fisheries social-ecological systems under scenarios of global change. We will use multiple models and approaches to assess tradeoffs within a risk framework, and inform fisheries management.

Kelp bed near the shore
Kelp bed near the shore

Vision

We will use multiple models and interdisciplinary approaches in a risk framework to evaluate vulnerabilities of coastal communities and ecosystems under climate change.

The goals of this group include:

  • Develop empirical approaches to evaluating climate vulnerability, using modeling and forecasting techniques.
  • Integrate interdisciplinary methods of risk assessment, including risk perception.
  • Explore future scenarios of global change and associated potential risk to communities, fisheries, and food webs.

Working Group Members

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